Remember back when Baz Lurhmann’s “The Great Gatsby” was going to be released in December? Remember how we were all excited to see Leonardo DiCaprio in possibly two great movies in this one and “Django Unchained”? Now that Gatsby is set to finally be released and the big question is: Is this the first bomb of the summer?

I know, how could a movie this grand with this much press and boasting a cast including Tobey Maguire and Carey Mulligan not be successful, right? Well, take a look at the second and third weekends in May. It hasn’t been kind to films (Just look at Tim Burton’s “Dark Shadows”). “Iron Man 3” is fresh off its $175 million opening weekend. J.J. Abrams’ “Star Trek Into Darkness” has fans chomping at the bit. A week later, “The Hangover Part III”, “Epic” and “Fast and Furious 6″ comes out. Finally the month ends with ‘After Earth”. What am I saying? There’s a lot of high profile movies that fans are going to be rushing out to see. So where does that leave Gatsby? What would have likely been a hit in December may not even reach $100 million in the summer. There’s just too much hype surrounding all these other movies, too much backlash against Luhrmann because of “Australia” and too many people who aren’t huge fans of the book. The target audience is limited to begin with. Now with so many films coming out, could “The Great Gatsby” fail to crack $40-50 million its opening weekend? That might be tough. And if the film isn’t a total hit critically, it could wind up in the $80-90 million range. This isn’t “Battleship” bad, but with the first reviews of the film very lukewarm on Rotten Tomatoes, this could be the first financial disappointment of the summer.

Lukas Eggen can be reached at eggen.lukas@gmail.com.

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