It’s the weekend before Valentines Day. That means couples will be out in full force looking for movies to see. This week three major new releases hit theaters. Which one will come out on top?
First, there’s “The Vow”, starring Rachel McAdams (The Notebook, Wedding Crashers) and Channing Tatum (Dear John, GI Joe: Rise of Cobra). The film stars two actors who have appeared in two of the most popular romantic movies of the past 10 years or so and this film is obviously more serious in tone than next week’s “This Means War”. Technically, “This Means War” hits theaters on Valentines day, but I’ll include it here anyways. That film stars Chris Pine (Star Trek), Reese Witherspoon (Sweet Home Alabama) and Tom Hardy (The Dark Knight Rises, Inception). In terms of star power, obviously “This Means War” wins. Also the film has a broader appeal, promising at least a little action to keep guys somewhat interested. I think “This Means War” will make far more money than “The Vow”.
“The Vow” will be successful this weekend, earning maybe $25-28 million, but “This Means War” will have better legs.
“Safe House” offers action fans a new thriller starring Denzel Washington and Ryan Reynolds (Green Lantern). The film looks pretty entertaining and a Washington action/thriller film generally does pretty solid at the box office. However, Reynolds hasn’t really had a breakout hit yet. Being released as counter-programming may win it some single guys out to the theater, but don’t expect this to be a huge success. I think it earns $18-21 million.
Finally, “Star Wars Episode I: The Phantom Menace” hits theaters in 3D. Generally, the people I’ve talked to fall into two categories. One: Diehard Star Wars fans that will see anything with Star Wars in the name. And two: those who hate the series, or just hate this particular film so much that they refuse to see it. Look for it to disappoint, earning $16-19 million. Maybe the low 20s tops.
Lukas Eggen can be reached at eggen.lukas@gmail.com.
